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Need to Know: Will McCloughan look to deal the Redskins’ top pick?

Mar 22, 2016, 5:01 AM EDT

McCloughan-FedEx-Field

Here is what you need to know on this Tuesday, March 22, 37 days before the NFL Draft.

I’m changing around the Need to Know format a bit. There may be some more tweaks in the coming days and weeks; your comments are welcome.

Timeline

—The Redskins last played a game 72 days ago. It will be about 173 days until they play another one.

Days until: Redskins offseason workouts start 27; 2016 NFL draft 37; Redskins training camp starts 128

Hot topic

Scot McCloughan let it be known that he is in search of additional draft picks, perhaps parlaying the eight he has into as many as 12. Some have interpreted that as meaning that the Redskins are going to trade down from their first pick, No. 21 overall. I think that assuming that is like adding two and two and getting eight.

He said nothing about dealing the top pick. While the pick No. 21 would yield the highest quality picks—the Redskins probably get picks early in the second and third if a team wants to move up—the team would also give up its best shot at getting an impact player.

Last year McCloughan went into the draft with seven picks and came out with 11, including one in the sixth round this year and he didn’t make any deals until the third round. I don’t think he’ll have a problem turning eight picks into 12 this year with a similar strategy.

Fan question of the day

I think we see the same starting lineup as we did last year with Pierre Garçon and DeSean Jackson on the outside and Jamison Crowder in the slot. This is a pretty solid trio, although it lacks the big red zone and third down threat (although TE Jordan Reed capably fills that role). After that, though, the picture is somewhat muddled.

It’s hard to imagine that Andre Roberts won’t get cut at some point between now and the April 18 start of offseason workouts. That would leave Ryan Grant and Rashad Ross. If they get a receiver in the earlier rounds of the draft and he can catch on he could be the first option off of the bench. If that doesn’t happen, it looks like Grant will be the primary backup.

Stat of the day

In 2015 the Redskins converted 22.4 percent of their third downs with 10 yards or more to go. That was slightly better than the NFL average of 21.3 percent.

In 2014 they were dead last in the league in converting in such situations, getting a first down just 7.6 percent of the time.

In case you missed it

  1. troylok - Mar 22, 2016 at 6:34 AM

    I think trading down out of the first might make sense. If they can pick up a second and a third or fourth round pick, then they will still have a pick where there isn’t much difference in the quality of the player. They certainly don’t have to pick a defensive tackle in the first round. This draft is loaded with them. There is probably only one safety that will be taken in the first round, so getting depth there also doesn’t require a first round pick.

    McGloughin has success in the lower rounds and he has the benefit of a full season working with the scouts for Washington. I think this draft will be his defining one as a GM with the Redskins and we shouldn’t be surprised if he moves up and down several times on draft day to get the player he wants at the right place in the draft he wants.

    • ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Mar 22, 2016 at 7:58 AM

      Besides one of the top tier DTs, it’s possible McGlue would want Ragland at 21, or Eli Apple, or a WR like Josh Doctson even.

      Only 37 days, 11 hours, and 2 minutes until the draft!
      ~

  2. ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Mar 22, 2016 at 10:05 AM

    Adam Schefter ‏@AdamSchefter 24m24 minutes ago

    Moments ago, Alfred Morris’ agent, @seanstellato, confirmed the former Redskins’ RB will sign a two-year deal with the Dallas Cowboys.
    ======
    ~

    • Mr.moneylover - Mar 22, 2016 at 12:09 PM

      Good guy but good riddance he don’t fit what we tryna do nomore

    • ET - Mar 22, 2016 at 12:35 PM

      Dang. Well, Alfred’s a guy I truly wish he best for (as long as he doesn’t run roughshod over our defense 2x times a year).

    • lezziemcdykerson - Mar 22, 2016 at 5:08 PM

      Public Enemy #46

  3. oswizard - Mar 22, 2016 at 10:15 AM

    Rich,
    I heard the Skins save money if they wait until June 1 to cut Roberts.

    • Rich Tandler - Mar 22, 2016 at 2:01 PM

      oswizard, your first post here is doing to be tomorrow’s Question of the Day. Look for your answer Wed. AM.

  4. bangkokben - Mar 22, 2016 at 10:19 AM

    Great stat!

  5. smotion55 - Mar 22, 2016 at 10:31 AM

    I hope he does get an offer earlier in the draft. Like he said there will be a good football player there at 21.The league gave out a lot of compensatory picks this year and maybe we get a couple in the 4th round and a 5th or whenever it doesn’t matter with him .If he gets 11 or 12 that would be great. Then go do what he does, draft football players. I like that.

  6. Disgruntled fan - Mar 22, 2016 at 11:51 AM

    I just want to know something. As a life long die hard Skins fan. Since the early 1980’s as wee lil lad with my now deceased father, & grandad. Who were so die hard we put Redskins memorabilia in their caskets! Am I the only one who sees that Jay Gruden. Is dismantling the playoff team he was hired to fix! Kinda like Chip Kelly did in Philly! And haven’t we seen this scenario again, & again since Mr.Snyder took ownership? How many times do we have to get right tipping point. Only to fall back and start over again, & again, & again!!! I mean we all want the 80’s Skins back again right! An we’ve gotten close a couple of times. But then we go back to the drawing board! Maybe we need to bring in a Thiesman, Green, or a Doug Williams type GM. Who will do like Ellway in Denver or like they’ve done in Carolina, or New England. And take complete control of the day to day away from Snyder. Do all the hiring and the firing. And build from there because this RG3, Alford Morris, Brian Orakbo thing has got to stop! We can’t keep trading super stars (Champ Baily’s) away for unknown first time coaches!

    • bangkokben - Mar 22, 2016 at 2:29 PM

      Brother, root for the uniforms. The guys you mentioned, what did they do? One magical seven game winning streak to a division title (without Orakpo, by the way, since he was IR). Morris was even a part of LAST YEAR’S division title. There was ZERO sustained success with Griffin, Morris, and Orakpo. Do you think Patriot fans were lamenting letting go Randy Moss or Wes Welker or a boatload of other guys? WINNING organizations let good players go. Time will tell whether this team will become a winning organization but having a winning record the FIRST year in a GM’s tenure for an organization that has had JUST THREE in the previous 15 years is a good start.

  7. Mr.moneylover - Mar 22, 2016 at 12:08 PM

    The other WR on they roster is LaRon Byrd who the redskins like…I think the only way scot m. Move back in the draft it depends on they draft board and who they got rank high in the draft…they could try to trade WR Andre Roberts for a third or forth round draft pick…I’m glad we not the Atlanta falcons they got only five draft picks this year

    • ET - Mar 22, 2016 at 12:44 PM

      Would any GM in their right mind give up ANY picks for Andre Roberts, let alone a 3rd or 4th rounder? He’s had a couple of terrible seasons—and they know he’s gonna be cut anyway.

    • John - Mar 22, 2016 at 2:09 PM

      Roberts who has run 1 kick back for a TD in 2 years and drops 50% of balls thrown his way? For any pick? Is Vinnie running any teams scouting department? Maybe we can get him to trigger a trade for Roberts….LOL

      • Skulb - Mar 25, 2016 at 11:27 PM

        I still find it comical that Roberts was the only one who didn’t drop any passes against the Patriots though. I guess a broken clock is right twice a day but it’s still funny.

  8. Raymond Ivy - Mar 22, 2016 at 1:05 PM

    Hey I think you should strengthen your o line because we gave up on running the ball this past season. And with the defense we need run stoppers and another pass rusher with some depth at the corner back and safety position.

  9. goback2rfk - Mar 22, 2016 at 2:07 PM

    Morris will be beast behind that superior Dallas Offensive Line. Dallas is a perfect fit for Morris who is a downhill pound you hard back. Great pick up for the Dallas Cowboys.

    • John - Mar 22, 2016 at 2:12 PM

      If Jason Garrett actually runs the ball but based on past experience, he’ll want to throw it 50 times a game.

    • ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Mar 22, 2016 at 4:10 PM

      Here’s a good piece on Morris and Callahan from last year. (I guess Dallas is still using Callhan’s system, which includes but is not limited to the ZBS Morris was successful with his first few years in D.C.):

      http://redskinscapitalconnection.com/alfred-morris-fit-in-bill-callahans-new-blocking-scheme/

      The question mark is whether or not he is ready to quickly read man-to-man blocks inside as the majority of his large runs came on outside zone stretch plays. This will be his test.
      ======
      ~

  10. kenlinkins - Mar 22, 2016 at 6:18 PM

    In most of the draft simulations I have run, there is a real drop off after about the 23th pick if you are looking for impact players in 2016. IMO the GM does not want trade back the 1st round pick. The problem is that this years 2rd, 3th and 4th round picks are much later than last years which reduces the value. He may have to trade down in round one order to gain picks that still have a good shot at landing a players that will still be able to run sub packages, spot starts or be true back ups in 2016. While picks in the 5th,6th and 7th are mid level picks, moving down that late is risky business as the jury is still out of last years late round picks. It will be very interesting to see how the GM plays it this year.

  11. bangkokben - Mar 22, 2016 at 6:44 PM

    “The problem is …”

    There is no problem. GM’s don’t look at rounds but at the number. The Redskins are picking 21st, 53rd, 84th, 120th, 158th, 187th, 232nd, and 242nd. At each pick there will be GMs that want to move up for their guy. The Redskins will likely trade back from picks 84th through 187th and only loses a couple spots while picking up picks between 187 and 232.

  12. Edy - Mar 22, 2016 at 9:51 PM

    I would be happy if the redskins trade their 1st round pick to the patriots for their both 2nd round picks and and a 3rd round pick. It seems really reasonable.

  13. Richard Price - Mar 25, 2016 at 11:06 AM

    In your opinion, who would Scot M select at 21 if Kelly, Billings and Ragland were a available?

    • Rich Tandler - Mar 25, 2016 at 1:37 PM

      I would not pick an interior lineman in the first round for the second year in a row. If Ragland can play 3 downs, I’d take either him or Billings.

  14. Mike - Mar 27, 2016 at 10:47 AM

    OF course it’s gonna be BPA so the question then becomes who’s rated higher on ‘your’ board; I LOVE Billings, then Ragland in the 1st and desperately Hope that they go for a ‘Big’ receiver in the 2nd. Hopefully, Michael Thomas is still on the board and I’m Def.tly seeing a C in the third. With at some point within going QB in the 5, 6, or 7th.

    I Feel that you agree, Rich; thanks for keeping us in the loop, though!!

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