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Need to Know: Ragland? Henry? Who is more likely to be a Redskin?

Feb 24, 2016, 5:24 AM EDT

Henry-Ragland

Here is what you need to know on this Wednesday, February 24, the day the NFL Combine gets started in Indianapolis.

Betting on the Redskins’ draft picks

I’ve been doing a series on players who may be of interest to the Redskins in the 2016 NFL Draft. So far I have five players in the Redskins Draft Countdown series and it just so happens that five is the number of propositions I like to use when breaking out the $100 in imaginary casino chips to assess the chances of future events taking place.

So let’s take the $100, the five who have been featured in the series, and see what we come up with. As always, your bets are welcome in the comment section.

Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama, $20—Certainly this is an area they would like to upgrade although it’s not a hair-on-fire need like some believe it is. Will Scot McCloughan go for a defender who may be a two-down player with pick No. 21? It seems possible but perhaps unlikely.

Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State, $25—If you don’t think that wide receiver is an urgent need, look at this list of 2017 free agents. If Thomas is still on the board he likely will be the best big receiver available. Will he be close enough to being the best available football player for McCloughan to pull the trigger?

Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech, $15—There is a lot of mystery about Fuller. At this point he could be gone when the Redskins pick at No. 21 or he could still be there when they are on the clock in the second. I doubt that McCloughan takes him in the first but he could bite in the second.

Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss, $30—Remember that these bets are being placed on this group of players only. I’m going with Nkemdiche as the favorite here because he’s a D-lineman and I think that’s the position that is most likely to be taken with the first-round pick. While I wouldn’t rule him out I think there will be some options available who have less baggage.

Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama, $10—If the Redskins didn’t already have Matt Jones I think that McCloughan would jump on Henry if he was there in the second round. He still might do it if he considers Henry to be a major upgrade over Jones. But the Redskins aren’t ready to give up on Jones so they might address other needs rather than taking Henry.

Timeline

—Former Redskins linebacker Mel Kaufman, who earned two Super Bowl rings, was born on this date in 1958.

—The Redskins last played a game 45 days ago. It will be about 200 days until they play another one.

Days until: NFL free agency starts 14; 2016 NFL draft 64

In case you missed it

  1. abanig - Feb 24, 2016 at 7:01 AM

    $20 on Ragland – I don’t think he falls to the skins. He could go top 15.

    $20 on Henry. As much as people want Henry I don’t see it. 2 things:

    1) I don’t see him falling past Houston
    2) McCloughan drafted Matt Jones. He’s not going to draft another 230 lb + back the year after drafting Jones. If jones doesn’t progress this year then talk to me in 2017 about drafting a big running back again.

    Round 1 I see a DL
    Round 2 I see a DB or C – mostly likely C will be woken 3 though or 4.

  2. sidepull - Feb 24, 2016 at 7:36 AM

    Like the list and the money allocated. The only change I would make is to insert a different defensive player than Nkemdiche. I would put my money on Kenny Clark, Sheldon Rankins or maybe Reed. Just depends on weather they want run stuffers or somebody who can get pressure on the QB. Really is an exiting time of year knowing that the Redskins have had a first round pick again. It stunk there for a while sitting around watching players come off the board and the Redskins getting zip. Now Scot is picking it even more fun to watch the process.

    • ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Feb 24, 2016 at 8:24 AM

      Add Andrew Billings to that list.

      Odds are that BPA at 21 will be a defensive lineman, simply because that is the strongest position in the draft in terms of number of players with a 1st round draft grade.
      ~

      • sidepull - Feb 24, 2016 at 8:41 AM

        Done deal. I would be happy with Billings as well. Not the tallest but powerful and quick. He would bring the pressure thats for sure. I swear they better get some DL this draft. Last year I was hoping for Shelton in a trade back and when they did not move down and stayed pat, well I just could not believe when Williams fell in their lap……and they passed. So this year I dont expect them to do anything close, all I can do is hope. Defense wins championships period. Not whining about taking the Tackle(guard). I gotta trust Scot. He has a heck of a track record.

      • bangkokben - Feb 24, 2016 at 9:05 AM

        Sometimes this works counter-intuitively. Teams have their preference for which DL to take and move up taking their guy, forcing other teams that thought they’d wait ’til the 2nd to draft one, changing their strategy to insure that they’d get top quality instead of second tier. Just saying.

        I’ve got by bets similar to Rich except I’m only betting position at this point. I’d put my house on someone NOT on the group of five.

        $30 DL
        $25 WR
        $20 ILB
        $20 CB
        $5 RB

        • ET - Feb 24, 2016 at 2:20 PM

          I agree with your first two and the fifth one. Flipping #3 and 4 makes more sense to me. I’d put more dollars on a CB as well.

          Seems somewhat unlikely that Scot’ll take an ILB or RB in the 1st when there’s “value” at those positions later.

          (Then again, what do I know?)

  3. bk70 - Feb 24, 2016 at 8:12 AM

    Can’t get in on the betting, but I would like to see the 1st round pick go to a DT, like Reed of Alabama or Rankins of Louisville. I don’t see Ragland being available at 21.

    Second round pick I’d like to see a DB, like Jalen Mills of LSU or Jeremy Cash of Duke. Maybe even an ILB such as Kentrell Brothers.

    I think our GM will stay with mature football players and best person available early. Unless they are truly “elite” stay with college Sr.

    • thirdistheworrd - Feb 24, 2016 at 11:17 AM

      Jalen Mills has major character issues, he’s not even someone the Redskins should even consider. Check out tape on Miles Killebrew though: great fit for a big-bodied defense, excellent nose for the ball, and impressive leadership skills. Same with Su’a Cravens from USC– he’s likely to be gone by our second round pick though.

  4. bk70 - Feb 24, 2016 at 8:26 AM

    Rich, when do you think players will announce their retirements? Before or after the 2016 draft. It would be easier on the staff if they knew for certain who’s retiring. Could be Hatcher, could be Golston, could be Haywood, or even DeAngelo Hall. Regardless…we need to beef up the defense for the future…this draft is heavy with DL and we should pick up a minimum of 2 out of the 8 picks.

    • Rich Tandler - Feb 24, 2016 at 9:20 AM

      Hatcher’s the only one who may retire and the Redskins might cut him whether he does or doesn’t.

      They will do things on their own timeline. Look at the RG3 situation and remember that they didn’t cut Chester and Tracy Porter until after OTAs started, which was after the draft.

      • bangkokben - Feb 24, 2016 at 9:30 AM

        Great points, Rich!. I forgot all about Porter. Us fans wanted him gone day 1.

  5. thirdistheworrd - Feb 24, 2016 at 11:13 AM

    Rich– Any thoughts on Jaylon Smith? If he’s available at 21, he’s unquestionably the best player available, he just won’t be available on the field until 2017.

    (For those who don’t know, Smith was a top 10 pick at LB until he tore his MCL and ACL during ND’s Bowl Game. The doctors say he should make a full recovery, it will just take a while, and he may not be available until late in the 2016-17 season, if it all)

    • ET - Feb 24, 2016 at 3:54 PM

      Seems like the kind of calculated risk a perpetually good team (e.g., the Patriots) can take. A longer payoff for a 1st or 2nd round pick is hard to swallow for the 85-90% of teams that need immediate game-day contributions from their top picks.

  6. smotion55 - Feb 24, 2016 at 11:40 AM

    Hopefully neither but if I had to chose I would take Ragland all day , he isn’t great but most likely will be their for 10 years who ever he plays for. .. Alabama heishman running backs don’t pan out . Henry won but Elliott is better. Henry rushed 400 times last year would not touch him . DL in the 1st round.. Nose tackle for sure I would draft highest rated on their board.

    40% DL rankins ,reed, butler, clark.
    30% WR Thomas, doctson
    15% S-CB Thompson, ramsey
    15% OLB Floyd, perry. 3 lighter OLBs ahead of these guys not sure he wants the little guys

  7. smotion55 - Feb 24, 2016 at 11:56 AM

    Hopefully neither but if I had to chose I would take Ragland all day , he isn’t great but most likely will play for 10 years who ever he plays for. .. Alabama heishman running backs don’t pan out . The Heishman is BS anyway Henry won but Elliott is clearly a better back. Henry rushed 400 times last year would not touch him . DL in the 1st round.. Nose tackle for sure I would draft highest rated on their board.

    40% DL rankins ,reed, butler, clark.
    30% WR Thomas, doctson
    15% S-CB Thompson, ramsey
    15% OLB Floyd, perry. 3 lighter OLBs ahead of these guys not sure he wants the little guys

  8. scottmccloughanfan - Feb 24, 2016 at 12:09 PM

    Jarren Reed DT or Jonothan Bullard DE

    You don’t win championships with FA offensive and defensive lines

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