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State of the Redskins, wild card week: O-line change on tap

Jan 6, 2016, 12:00 PM EDT

Redskins-O-line-vs-Eagles-2

Here is where the Redskins stand at the end of the NFL regular season:

Record: 9-7, won NFC East title
vs. NFC East: 4-2
vs. NFC: 8-4
vs. AFC: 1-3
Home: 6-2
Away: 3-5

Key stats changes from 2014-2015

 source:

Rankings (through Sunday’s games)

Offense (yards/game): 353.8 (17th)
Defense (yards/game): 380.2 (28th)
Passer rating offense:  102.0 (3rd)
Opp passer rating: 96.1 (22nd)
Yards/rush attempt: 3.7 (29th)
Opp. yards/rush attempt:
 4.8 (31st)
DVOA through Week 17 (Football Outsiders): -0.5% (15th)

Top three storylines:

On to the playoffs—The Redskins are going to try to get their first home playoff win since 1999 when they take on the Packers this Sunday. They are certainly a flawed team but they are on a roll and we will see if they can survive and advance starting a 4:40.

OL change on tap—It looks like Kory Lichtensteiger, who was just activated from the IR/return list, will start at center, sending Josh LeRibeus to the bench. The veteran has been very active around Redskins Park while on the shelf but he hasn’t played a full game since October 11. We will see if he can last 70 snaps.

Off year for elite QB—Aaron Rodgers is one of the best quarterbacks in the game but he isn’t having a great season. In fact, he is behind Kirk Cousins is almost every major statistical category. But even if Rodgers is not at the top of his game he has 12 games of playoff experience to draw on and if only because of him the Packers will be a tough out.

The playoffs

Sunday vs. Packers (10-6)—The Redskins are slight favorites over the Packers. If they are going to avoid the upset, Kirk Cousins is going to need to have a big game and the Redskins’ defense will have to keep a Green Bay offense that has been struggling (4 TD’s in last 3 games) from getting healthy at their expense.

If the Redskins win, their next opponent will be determined by the result of the other NFC wild card game. If the Vikings win, the Redskins would go to Carolina for the second time this year. Should the Seahawks prevail, a Redskins win would send them to Arizona for a Saturday night game.

  1. goback2rfk - Jan 6, 2016 at 12:51 PM

    Aaron Rodgers off year is “3821 Yards, 31 TD’s, and only 8 INT’s.”

  2. goback2rfk - Jan 6, 2016 at 12:56 PM

    For the record, I believe the Redskins will win this game IF Kirk Cousins plays like he has been playing and the defense can stop the Packers rush game. Stuffing the Packers run game could be the key to winning this one. If we can consistently get the Packers in 3rd and long situations it will give the Skins the opportunity to rough up Aaron Rodgers a bit. We need to play disruptive style football to Aaron Rodgers. Similar to what the Panthers did to Kirk Cousins way back on week 11.

  3. colmac69 - Jan 6, 2016 at 2:29 PM

    Rodgers was

    124-182-1491-15-2 for first six games (6-0)

    68%comp rate///sacked 11/// 4 games with over 100 qb rate and lowest of 82.8

    Last 10 (4-6)

    223-390-2330-16-6

    57%comp rate///sacked 35///// 4 games with under 70 qb rate and 3 games over 90

    Overall numbers

    347-572-3821-31-8

    60.7 comp rate////sacked 46//// and 92.7 qb rate

    Great numbers as one would xpect…however not nearly as sharp over last 10…..obviously number factors come into play but certainly a slip in some things…..still a dangerous guy but we should b able to take advantage of somethings

    • goback2rfk - Jan 6, 2016 at 4:12 PM

      Aaron Rodgers will show up for this game. He is a proven commodity and maybe in the top 3 discussion and certainly in the top 5 best QB’s in the league.

      • brucefan1 - Jan 6, 2016 at 10:10 PM

        Agreed, go back; the reigning NFL MVP will show up to play on Sunday, but we just have to hope that his pass blocking, deep receivers and run defense continue NOT to! (And Eddie Lacy can take powder too … along with Mason Crosbie, maybe?)

  4. firesnyder - Jan 6, 2016 at 5:09 PM

    I am worried about Green Bay’s pass defense since passing is the strength of the Redskins. They are ranked 3rd in the league by ProFootballFocus. Below is how PFF grades GB corners and safeties in an article they posted 6 days ago. It remains to be seen if Sam Shields will play since he has been in the concussion protocol since week 14. I would bet he plays though if its even close. GB safeties are graded quite high with Burnett getting one of the highest grades in the league. Kirk will need to be on his toes to not get fooled by these guys…. you can bet some or all will be trying to jump routes to create takeaways. I’m really hoping Lichtensteiger makes a big difference in the run game so that it takes some pressure off of Kirk. Kirk relies so much on timing and the more a good secondary sees of a young quaterback, they more they can key in on his timing tendencies. It would be nice if Kirk didn’t have to throw it 35 times… crossing fingers!!

    #3 Green Bay Packers
    Average PFF grade: 80.9
    Cornerbacks: Casey Hayward (80.5); Sam Shields (78.5); Damarious Randall (75.5)
    Safeties: Morgan Burnett (88.8); Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (81.1)

    • skinsfan2 - Jan 6, 2016 at 6:30 PM

      With all due respect. PFF is a joke. Put no stock into their worthless rankings.

    • goback2rfk - Jan 6, 2016 at 10:32 PM

      I like the odds a little better with the game being at FedEx. I believe the Redskins have a real shot at this game and I am predicting a win by a field goal in the final seconds of the game for the Washington Redskins.

      I love the talks about the new stadium and returning to the passion and fire of RFK stadium days old. I would love to see Snyder build RFK Stadium #2 as planned.
      With that being said, what a great season and thanks Redskins you gave us a happy holidays. HTTMFR!

  5. bangkokben - Jan 6, 2016 at 6:10 PM

    I agree with Mr.$. Kyshoen Jarrett’s absence is huge. Hopefully Cary Williams is another Will Blackmon-.like “off the street” pick up.

    As for the playoffs, here are Football Outsider’s odds for our Redskins:

    Team Conf App Conf Win SB Win
    WAS 19.9% 6.3% 2.6%

    2.6% chance to will the Super Bowl. You gotta like that. Not too long ago the Redskins were sitting in a place where they had those type odds for both picking in the three and making the playoffs.

  6. goback2rfk - Jan 6, 2016 at 9:56 PM

    Congrats to Jay Gruden who is up for NFL Coach of the Year award for turning around the Redskins season and making the tough call on Kirk.

    • cpst123 - Jan 7, 2016 at 7:27 AM

      Agreed. He rolled the dice hard this year and it paid off. If not we might be the 3rd team in our division looking for a new HC.

      Hopefully he and Scott can fill some holes this off season and continue to win. We don’t need to be 12-4, but win more than you lose. Worst to First is great but not when we follow that with First to Worst! We have some needs, some free agents and a tougher schedule next year.

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