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State of the Redskins, Week 16: The magic number is one

Dec 23, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT

Jordan-Reed-celebrate-vs-Bills

Here is where the Redskins stand in Week 16 of the NFL season.

Record: 7-7, 1st in NFC East
vs. NFC East: 2-2
vs. NFC: 6-4
vs. AFC: 1-3
Home: 6-2
Away: 1-5

Key stats changes from 2014-2015

 source:

Rankings (through Sunday’s games)

Offense (yards/game): 343.3 (22nd)
Defense (yards/game): 370.0 (25th)
Passer rating offense:  97.0 (8th)
Opp passer rating: 96.2 (21st)
Yards/rush attempt: 3.7 (29th)
Opp. yards/rush attempt:
 4.9 (21st)
DVOA through Week 15 (Football Outsiders): -3.0% (15th)

Top three storylines:

The magic number is one—The Redskins are one win away from a playoff appearance that nobody predicted back at the beginning of the season when many had them ranked anywhere from 30th to 32nd in their power rankings, picking first in the 2015 draft, and looking for a new coach and quarterback by now. Regardless, any combination of Redskins wins and Eagles losses totaling one will clinch the division for the Redskins.

You like that!—They appear to have found their quarterback, at least for the next year or two. Kirk Cousins has done what you want an inexperienced quarterback to do, get better as the year goes on. He has been one of the hottest quarterbacks in the game since Week 7, completing 77 percent of his passes with 16 touchdowns and three interceptions and a passer rating of 115.0.

Jackson heating up—It is no coincidence that Cousins’ production started to ramp up when DeSean Jackson got back in the lineup after missing six games with a hamstring injury. He picked a good time to have his best game of the season against the Bills. If he can keep it up the Redskins could be a dangerous team in the playoffs.

Last two (regular season) games

Saturday @ Eagles (6-8)—The only thing this game means is everything. The Redskins take the NFC East with a win. They are still alive if they don’t but this is last call to get in through the front door without any help.

January 3 @ Cowboys (4-10)—This game could be critical for the Redskins or it could be the January equivalent of a meaningless preseason game. We know it won’t mean anything for the Cowboys.

  1. Sam Brinley - Dec 23, 2015 at 1:09 PM

    Not true, if the Eagles win out, and the skins lose week 16 and win week 17, the Eagles go to playoffs, given a tiebreaker of a better division record. So, the magic number is 2 for the Skins.

  2. colmac69 - Dec 23, 2015 at 3:04 PM

    After what kendricks said yesterday fletcher cox guarantees the eagles will win sat….

    U like their confidence but man what bulletin board the skins gonna have……

  3. metalman5150 - Dec 23, 2015 at 3:09 PM

    Last Season the Skins ruined the eagles playoffs hopes by dominating them in DC.
    Surely the eagles haven’t forgotten.
    Skins need to show out early and often. Put the game away early and don’t leave the eagles hanging.

  4. firesnyder - Dec 23, 2015 at 3:19 PM

    Eagles are 2nd best in the league at covering Tight Ends. Reed gonna have a tough day, so here’s hoping things open up for Garcon and of course DJax.

  5. kenlinkins - Dec 23, 2015 at 4:27 PM

    I just read where David Amerson has been graded out as the BEST CB in the NFL over the last 5 games by Pro Football Focus. While I am not buying the best CB title even if it is only over the last 5 games, he must be doing a lot right in Oakland. It makes me wonder just what was going on with this kid that he could go from the bottom to the top of grading so quickly. He has talent so I have to guess his getting cut by the Redskins had more to do with other things, but how bad does it have to be to become the highest draft pick from your class to get cut! (and how was it keep from the fans) OR am I wrong about the talent part?

    • bangkokben - Dec 23, 2015 at 6:32 PM

      First of all Pro Football Focus’ grading is extremely suspect and you might as well be quoting from Walter Football. As for Amerson, definitely had talent and the right measurables. The knock here was that he just didn’t put in the study. Perhaps, getting cut was the wake up call he needed.

    • Ron E. - Dec 23, 2015 at 7:52 PM

      Skins messed up badly on Amerson. Money was the main motive for the bad move.

      • Rich Tandler - Dec 24, 2015 at 5:15 AM

        Uh, no. They had him locked up through 2016 at near minimum salaries. A very inexpensive player if he had performed.

    • ET - Dec 23, 2015 at 8:49 PM

      Amerson always had the raw skills. He just needed to put them into action. His real problem is / was maturity.

      I’m happy he found a good place to land. It’s frustrating that DC couldn’t develop him properly, but … our secondary is in a much better place now.

    • ajbus1 - Dec 24, 2015 at 1:59 PM

      I think it’s absolutely a wake up call/change of scenery story for Amerson. It is unfortunate that’s what he needed and couldn’t put it together here but it happens.

    • rtcwon - Dec 24, 2015 at 2:29 PM

      Rather than a vindication of Amerson, their grades on him is just next up on the list of reasons why even typing the word focus after pro football makes you ignorant. Never, ever, ever type that in your url bar.

  6. YOU LIKE THAT - Dec 23, 2015 at 5:17 PM

    Kirk is not a back up at best. Reed is not made of glass. Morris is not done. D- jax is not a gang member. Robert never had a “Higher Ceiling” than Cousins. Gruden is not a fat dumb coach who can’t call a good game. Danny is nowhere to be found, except behind his checkbook…. Skins fans aren’t delusional like the crygirl fans… And who would have thought this ….. Me that’s who, HAIL TO THE REDSKINS! HAIL TO THE REDSKINS! HAIL TO MY WASHINGTON REDSKINS!!!!!

    • goback2rfk - Dec 23, 2015 at 5:45 PM

      HAIL TO THE MOTHER FU**ING REDSKINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • Skulb - Dec 23, 2015 at 6:53 PM

      Oh don’t worry. The told-you-so-ers will be waiting for the first INT and they’ll return in force. No opinion is ill-informed enough to be altered by reality for some people.

  7. colmac69 - Dec 23, 2015 at 5:52 PM

    If we lose on sat do we then hope giants bt vikings on sun night so they have something to play for vs philly?

    • bangkokben - Dec 23, 2015 at 6:40 PM

      That is the general sentiment, here. I say just win, Redskins. You can argue that if the Eagles can beat the Redskins and then the Giants to close the season they perhaps deserve the title but can these Eagles simply turn it out and win the division? I don’t think so. As for backdoors into the playoffs, I say let’s consider them nonexistent unless Saturday doesn’t go our way.

      • JOHNNY B - Dec 23, 2015 at 7:44 PM

        Well with the Giants playing without their star wide receiver on Sunday they will lose to the Vikings. So the Giants will not have anything to play for in week 17. So this game on Saturday is do or die.

        • bangkokben - Dec 23, 2015 at 9:20 PM

          Can’t count on the Giants whether they have something to play for or not. The Eagles are 8-3 against the g-men over the past five plus seasons. Then again if the Giants lose to the Vikings, you don’t think Beckham will want to prove something when he gets back on the field or that the team will want to send Tom Coughlin off to retirement on a win? They’ll be motivated to play win or lose but the Redskins need to focus on beating THEIR OWN opponents. The Eagles; then the Cowboys.

        • goback2rfk - Dec 23, 2015 at 9:34 PM

          This could be the biggest fu***ng game I have seen in awhile. I though the Giants game weeks ago was big but no this sh|t is for all the marbles. This is the ticket to the post season. Playoff?! Playoffs?!

  8. ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Dec 23, 2015 at 8:47 PM

    Just win, Redskins!
    ~

  9. goback2rfk - Dec 23, 2015 at 9:32 PM

    The Eagles are guaranteeing a Win on Saturday Night. Or it was Maxwell or somebody that is talking sh|t.
    It is going to be fierce, it is in hostile territory, it is during prime time, it is everything the Redskins do badly.
    Will this be the game where the Skins show they can put a dreary Chip Kelly team out of their misery?!
    I dunno. But I know one thing, Cousins better be looking Jackson’s way early and often. I expect Garcon to get loose also. And the biggest surprise will be the running game when Morris wakes up for this one.
    I hope they win! Please Win! please…. httmfr

  10. jtkopp - Dec 23, 2015 at 9:50 PM

    We will win.we made the right moves and now its all coming together.Cox is desperate to make that statement. All hail big Scott! He hit on ,at least 8 acquisitions and moved guys out that didnt fit with precision. The eagles really dont look any better this year. The vast improvement of our passing game is the big difference. The ability to convert thirds is the result and now we are seeing the confidence of winners.HTTR

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