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State of the Redskins, Week 12: Home, (very) sweet home

Nov 25, 2015, 12:00 PM EDT


Here is where the Redskins stand in Week 12 of the NFL season.

Record: 4-6, T-2nd in NFC East
vs. NFC East: 1-1
vs. NFC: 4-3
vs. AFC: 0-3
Home: 4-1
Away: 0-5

Key stats changes from 2014-2015


Rankings (through Sunday’s games)

Offense (yards/game): 332.8 (28th)
Defense (yards/game): 370.1 (20th)
Passer rating offense:  89.6 (17th)
Opp passer rating: 100.1 (27th )
Yards/rush attempt: 3.9 (25th)
Opp. yards/rush attempt:
 4.8 (30th)
Weighted DVOA through Week 11 (Football Outsiders): -6.0% (20th)

Top three storylines:

Home, (very) sweet home—The Redskins are still in the hunt for the NFC East title thanks to their ability to win at home. They are winless in five road games but 4-1 in the friendly confines of FedEx Field. The team will have to figure out a way to win away from home if they are going to make the playoffs but they don’t have to worry about that for a while since their next two games are at home. If they win both they will be no worse than tied for first place with a quarter of the season to go.

Ground game problem persist—The Redskins rushed for 14 yards against the Panthers and gave up 142 on the ground. NFL teams have done that 29 times since 1990 and they are 0-29. It’s apparent that the team won’t meet its stated offseason goal of being able to run at will and shut down the other team’s running game. But if they can show some improvement on both sides of the ball they will have a shot in these last six games.

In the playoff picture—They need to beat the Giants to have any realistic shot at the NFC East title, which is probably their only chance at playing more than 16 games. The scenarios are complex but the most promising path seems to be the Redskins winning their remaining three home games (Giants, Cowboys, Bills) and steal one on the road (Bears, Eagles, Cowboys) and come out ahead on tiebreakers. It’s drawing to an inside straight but it is possible.

Next three games

Sunday vs. Giants (5-5)—The Giants are just a bad matchup for the Redskins. New York has won six of the last seven games between the two teams and most of them haven’t been competitive. Home division games are always significant and this one is of elevated importance due to what’s at stake in the standings.

December 7 (Mon. night) vs. Cowboys (2-7)—With Tony Romo back, the Cowboys ended their seven-game losing streak by beating the Dolphins. But even with their QB back the Cowboys are a shadow of the team that rolled to a 12-4 record and were within a Dez Bryant dropped pass (and, yes, per the rules it was a drop) of the NFC title game.

December 13 @ Bears (4-6)—The Bears were in disarray early in the season and Jay Cutler was either the joke or the punch line. But coach John Fox righted the ship and they have gone 4-3 since their 0-3 start. Cutler has thrown just six interceptions after leading the league with 18 a year ago. A road game in the Windy City in December will be quite interesting.

  1. goback2rfk - Nov 25, 2015 at 12:25 PM

    Cousins has not beat a team with a winning record so far this year. We need the running game bad this game and the question is if Jones can hang on to the ball. Morris has a slight injury as well as Morris and Reed. So hopefully they will be 100% to go on Sunday. Eli Manning is 8 – 4 at FedEx field and 16 – 6 overall vs. the Skins.
    Honestly, everything is pointing to a Giants dominating win. The one thing is that the Redskins have bounced back after losing this season usually with a Win. So if the bouncing theory holds true we will beat the Giants and then go on to lose to the Boys.
    I have a bad feeling about this one. I see some mistakes happening from Kirk Cousins and some ugly play all around.

    Giants 35
    Redskins 20

    • John - Nov 26, 2015 at 1:02 AM

      The Redskins have not had success against the Giants since 2011. Kirk is not the problem. The defense has been picked apart by Eli in the last 3 games big time. The special teams also gave up an early safety in the last meeting. Kirk had to play from behind last year. He should fare better this time. If the Skins can’t run or stop the run or pressure Manning, it will be a long day for the fans.

  2. goback2rfk - Nov 25, 2015 at 12:28 PM

    We need Trent on Sunday really bad. I hope he goes.

  3. brucefan1 - Nov 25, 2015 at 12:56 PM

    “The Giants are just a bad matchup for the Redskins. New York has won six of the last seven games between the two teams and most of them haven’t been competitive”

    Actually the Skins futility vs the G-Men goes back longer than that, going 1-7 up in the Meadowlands and 2-5 at FedEx ever since Gibbs 2.0 ended.

    And we hear that they don’t “match up” with NY a lot, so there there mist be something to that, but how is it after all these years, with three different systems, that the Redskins STILL do not match up with the Giants. I mean Big Blue has changed in style and personnel over that time, too. (Albeit not as drastically as the B&G).

    I’m sure I’m not the only one who thinks that one of the biggest ways the Skins do not match up with the NYGs is in the “psychological” department. Just watching the games over these last several years — as well as listening to talk radio here in the greater NYC area — it seems the Giants just expect to win their games against the Redskins, no matter what the records; that they have the Skins’ number. Either by a blowout or a squeaker, they seem confident that they will get ‘er done.

    On the other hand, the Skins have often come out flat against the Giants (especially when the Skins have entered the game riding high!) and found a way to lose. Are the Giants in their head, waiting for the next shoe to drop? Maybe. I’m sure all those past teams would have denied it vociferously. Many fans would say there is nothing to such theories. But it can be argued at least.

    But there are two factors I LOVE going into this game; the Skins have been installed as a 2.5 point underdogs — AT FEDEX; and the Skins know a loss may very well break their season, so they have a bit more on the line. I’ve frequently heard that these two factors are crucial in the outcome of a game like this. We’ll see if that holds true.

    This Giant team has been no great prize this season — just about as mediocre and inconsistent as the Skins. We ALL know they are very beatable. But now the B&G just gotta go out and DO IT! NY has a very porous defense (31st in yds given up, 24th in pts allowed) and the Skins have the tools to exploit it … IF they have their heads on straight.

    This is the week to shake off last week’s disaster (especially if their performance swings hold true to form), recommit themselves to great preparation and focus, come ready to play with REAL confidence for 60 minutes (not the kind that gets knocked outta them with the first punch in the mouth!), and break the Giants recent sway over them for good and all. That would be a huge step in the rebuilding process for this organization, imho.

    • goback2rfk - Nov 25, 2015 at 2:30 PM

      Not a bad post. A little bit too long, well actually a lot to long. :)
      Eli plays well against the porous Redskins secondary. He always has. If you are a fantasy owner of Eli you better get him in the starting line up.
      Scott M’s Chris Culliver has been a disaster this season. From injuries, to not making plays. I am not sure if it is the defensive scheme or Culliver himself. During the Panthers game on 3rd and 3 Culliver lined up 10 yards off the ball! Cam made an easy throw short for the 1st down. Culliver is supposed to be tough, why the hell is he not up on the line playing physical with the opposing receivers? The CB’s are giving opposing receivers way too much room. If they line up against O.D.B. and company of the Giants like that they will get burned. You have to try and bump them some at the line.
      I am not as concerned with the offense during this game, I think they will put up some points. The elephant in the room is the Redskins secondary and if they can stop Eli from throwing for 350+ yards etc. The only decent CB we have in my meaningless opinion is Breeland. Other than that the Redskins secondary is an old trash heap.

      • brucefan1 - Nov 25, 2015 at 7:28 PM

        “A little bit too long, well actually a lot to long. :)”

        Ya think??!!

        (Pithiness was never my strong suit. LOL)

  4. ifthethunderdontgetya™³²®© - Nov 25, 2015 at 6:04 PM

    I’m hoping for a Festivus Miracle.

    • bangkokben - Nov 25, 2015 at 8:26 PM

      The chance to play meaning for games in December for the first time since 2012 would be huge. Archives

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