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Predictions Analysis: Nailing It!

Dec 7, 2004, 2:32 AM EST

Rich Tandler is the author of Gut Check, The Complete History of Coach Joe Gibbs’ Washington Redskins. Get details and order at <a href="

http://gutcheckbook.com”>http://GutCheckBook.com

First, before I get into this, I need to let you know something if you’re not a regular reader of this blog. Every week, I make predictions about what will happen during the upcoming game. In the day or two after the game, I always come back and put my predictions up against what really happened (except when I correctly predict a Redskins loss, since that’s no fun). I’ve been very off base sometimes and I’ve been kind of close sometimes, but I always come back to face the music one way or the other. It’s important that you know that because:

I really nailed this game!

and I want to make sure everyone knows that I’m not one who comes out and takes the bows when I’m right and forgets everything that was said when I’m wrong.

I see how well my predictions held water and then give them a number of buckets from one to five to indicate how accurate they were. Sometimes, I give each prediction a number; today, baby, they’re all

Five Buckets!

Tiki Barber, just like in the first meeting, won’t find much running room. He ran for just 42 yards, one of his lowest outputs of a season in which he’s averaging over 100 yards per game. Put him down for another 42 yards and a (rare for this season) fumble.

Barber ran for 38 yards and fumbled (the Giants recovered).

That will make it tough going for Manning, but even though Gregg Williams will bring the house at him and pressure and confuse him, I don’t think that the rookie will fold. He won’t lead them to a win, but he won’t be the reason that they lose.

This is somewhat subjective, but Manning didn’t turn the ball over and took just one sack. I don’t think he’s the reason they lost. If you have an opinion to the contrary, please pass it on to me.

Ramsey will have one of his best games. He’ll have time to throw and will be able to connect on one or two bombs, assuming that the receivers can gather in balls that are in their hands. If things go well, he won’t have to pass that often so he won’t have a big yardage total. Let’s say he passes about 20 times for right around 200 yards and two TD’s.

While he didn’t connect on any bombs, he passed 22 times for 174 yards and three TD’s. Close enough in my book.

Portis will not be complaining about a lack of work after this one. Thirty carries, 125 yards.

Portis had 31 carries for 148.

This time, the Redskins will do it right. The first time they get the ball they will march in for a touchdown. Then they will keep that lead for the rest of the day.

Redskins 24, Giants 10

First Redskin drive was 13 plays, 93 yards, 7:15 for a touchdown and a lead they never relinquished. Final 31-7.

Like the Redskins, good performance this week. The key is consistency and that’s been an issue, again both here at the blog and at Redskins Park. We’ll see next week.

  1. Anonymous - Dec 6, 2004 at 11:01 PM

    First, kudos to your predictions! A few posts ago, I wrote:

    If the offense can minimize mistakes and put together 3 to 4 drives a game, they could find themselves on the winning side of the score. I don’t expect a miracle. I would just settle for consistency – even if it only results in clouds of dust as the Redskins pile up rushing yards with Portis and Betts, passing yards with quick outs and slants to their ends and backs. Throw the deep ball once in awhile to keep the defenses honest (Ramsey should have a better chance to hit a long ball than the lottery, right?). In short, reduce penalties, don’t turnover the ball, wear down the opponent by keeping their defense on the field, and punishing their offense with our defense. With these few keys, the season could turn around sooner than later.

    And voila! The Skins did prety much this and look at the results. Now, the Giants were pretty beat up, but this game serves as a confidence booster. I hope they can turn this around into something they can use against those awesome Eagles. The Eagles should start coasting now that they have the division wrapped up. Wouldn’t surprise me if they start playing less aggresively to avoid any big injuries before their push to the postseason. Anyhow, let’s hope the offensive line stays healthy and can get those big holes against Sunday night against Philly. Go Skins!

  2. Anonymous - Dec 7, 2004 at 3:01 AM

    First, kudos to your predictions! A few posts ago, I wrote:

    If the offense can minimize mistakes and put together 3 to 4 drives a game, they could find themselves on the winning side of the score. I don’t expect a miracle. I would just settle for consistency – even if it only results in clouds of dust as the Redskins pile up rushing yards with Portis and Betts, passing yards with quick outs and slants to their ends and backs. Throw the deep ball once in awhile to keep the defenses honest (Ramsey should have a better chance to hit a long ball than the lottery, right?). In short, reduce penalties, don’t turnover the ball, wear down the opponent by keeping their defense on the field, and punishing their offense with our defense. With these few keys, the season could turn around sooner than later.

    And voila! The Skins did prety much this and look at the results. Now, the Giants were pretty beat up, but this game serves as a confidence booster. I hope they can turn this around into something they can use against those awesome Eagles. The Eagles should start coasting now that they have the division wrapped up. Wouldn’t surprise me if they start playing less aggresively to avoid any big injuries before their push to the postseason. Anyhow, let’s hope the offensive line stays healthy and can get those big holes against Sunday night against Philly. Go Skins!

  3. Rich Tandler - Dec 8, 2004 at 10:13 PM

    The offense certainly needed to get some continuity and, as you said, the absence of the dropped pass and the false start certainly helped in doing that.

    I don’t see Philly letting up until they clinch home field, which they can’t do this week even with a win and an Atlanta loss. Nope, the Skins will have to beat them fair and square. The chances of them doing that are, well, tune in here later this week for my predicion!

  4. Rich Tandler - Dec 9, 2004 at 2:13 AM

    The offense certainly needed to get some continuity and, as you said, the absence of the dropped pass and the false start certainly helped in doing that.

    I don’t see Philly letting up until they clinch home field, which they can’t do this week even with a win and an Atlanta loss. Nope, the Skins will have to beat them fair and square. The chances of them doing that are, well, tune in here later this week for my predicion!

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